Rensselaer Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #52
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #12
New Prairie Regional Rank #4
Rensselaer Central Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Gavit Invitational Harrison Invitational Rensselaer Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 578 607 696 637 614 758 639 622 676 601
Team Adjusted Rating 607 696 637 614 598 639 622 676 601
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Gavit Invitational Harrison Invitational Rensselaer Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
71  Morgan Fleming 12 19:28 19:27 19:50 19:23 19:27 19:27 19:37 19:09 19:33 19:26 19:33
82  Kelsie Wuethrich 10 19:35 19:15 19:08 19:11 19:15 19:32 20:05 20:47 19:43
272  Hailey Henry 12 20:36 21:08 21:42 21:02 20:58 21:02 21:21 20:40 20:35 20:22
855  Alyse Musch 9 22:15 22:58 23:51 23:51 24:04 22:33 22:48 22:45 22:37 21:59
1,105  Jaci Engleking 12 22:53 22:30 22:59 23:04 22:49 22:30 22:34 22:55 23:12 23:39
1,214  Abby Kozyra 12 23:05 22:49 23:02 22:55 22:45 22:34 22:46 23:09 24:58 23:56
Kenzie Flanigan 12 23:47 24:04 23:58 23:49 23:30 23:38 24:02
Ally Armold 12 24:07 23:57 25:57 24:27 23:01 23:37 24:45
Kiara Britt 11 24:23 24:33 25:09 24:18 24:32 23:41
Hannah Warne 9 24:28 23:36 24:09 25:06 24:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.5 314 1.6 5.5 7.8 14.1 19.5 22.5 15.6 7.8 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.2 121 83.5 15.5 1.0
Sectionals 100% 1.4 39 65.0 35.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Fleming 88.4% 66.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 88.4% 88.4%
Kelsie Wuethrich 77.2% 76.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 77.2% 77.2%
Hailey Henry 0.0% 100.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Fleming 100% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.4 3.5 5.6 7.3 7.7 6.6 6.3 6.4 6.2 6.1 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.1 3.6 2.8 3.0 2.6 100.0%
Kelsie Wuethrich 100% 18.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.1 6.1 5.7 5.5 5.1 5.5 5.8 5.3 5.6 5.0 4.5 3.7 3.8 3.7 100.0%
Hailey Henry 100% 65.7 0.1 100.0%
Alyse Musch 100% 148.1 2.1%
Jaci Engleking 100% 160.2 0.0%
Abby Kozyra 100% 163.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Fleming 100% 6.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 8.7 16.4 20.1 18.8 11.4 8.8 5.1 3.6 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Kelsie Wuethrich 100% 7.4 0.3 0.6 4.0 9.4 14.0 15.9 15.8 11.9 9.2 7.5 4.6 3.0 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Hailey Henry 100% 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.1 2.2 4.4 7.4 7.9 9.0 10.7 10.5 9.4 9.2 8.3 6.0 4.9 100.0%
Alyse Musch 100% 45.9 100.0%
Jaci Engleking 100% 55.4 100.0%
Abby Kozyra 100% 58.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Fleming 1.0 66.2 33.8 0.1
Kelsie Wuethrich 1.2 33.9 65.9 0.3
Hailey Henry 3.2 0.1 44.7 32.9 14.3 5.2 2.0 1.0
Alyse Musch 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.5 11.7 21.2 21.6 17.8 10.5 7.5 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
Jaci Engleking 18.3 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.4 4.8 8.4 11.6 16.6 15.3 14.2 13.3 8.0 3.4 0.9 0.1
Abby Kozyra 20.3 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.7 5.0 7.8 12.9 15.3 17.9 20.5 11.0 4.1 1.2